Tuesday, November 6, 2007

The Education of Mike Milken

I DID NOT TRY TO INVENT ANYTHING, I JUST DECIDED TO FALLOW THIS GUY'S STEPS....THE GREAT FINANCIAL REVOLUTIONARY OF THE XX CENTURY

"'Gotta go to Moraga!' That's what everybody says," notes a visitor to the Oz-like place where the American educational revolution is being plotted: "That's the code word for going to the mountain." In truth, "Moraga" is a three-story building on a cul-de-sac of that name in the hills above the exclusive Los Angeles enclave of Bel Air. Moraga is near the haciendas and sprawling glass palaces of the men whom Michael Milken and his junk-bond wizardry transformed from a band of small-time entrepreneurs into kingpins of global commerce and technology. Few of those billionaires could have imagined that just three years after leaving a minimum-security prison near San Francisco, where he served twenty-two months for fraud, rigging securities prices and other felonies, Milken would have engineered a comeback as the putative Bill Gates of the untapped gold mine known as American education.

In 1996 a $500 million pot from Milken (who paid the Feds a $1.1 billion fine as part of his plea bargain but remained one of America's richest men), his brother Lowell and Oracle Corporation chief executive Larry Ellison launched Knowledge Universe (KU), a holding company for an impressive transnational array of enterprises in the business of training human minds. While Milken operates from Los Angeles, the president, Tom Kalinske, a former head of Mattel and Sega, ostensibly runs the firm from Northern California, and 9,500 employees are scattered around the US and Great Britain in various operating entities.

The former Junk Bond King is positioning himself as a sort of Sam Walton of gray matter, offering Americans one-stop shopping for smarts from their diaper days to emeritus rank. Milken's company, with annual revenues of $1.2 billion, has bought or purchased stakes in everything from Children's Discovery Centers (CDC, also known as Knowledge Beginnings), the nation's sixth-largest preschool company, with 25,000 toddlers in nearly 300 locations across the United States; to Spring, Britain's largest vocational-training firm. KU owns or has invested in more than a dozen companies involved in computer training, proficiency testing, educational toys, strategic consulting and CEO training, as well as private, for-profit schools (nearly 400 at last count, ranging from preschool to secondary).

From a business standpoint, the education industry is certainly tempting: As a $600-billion-and-growing market, it is larger than either the military budget or Social Security. Like healthcare a few decades ago, it is dominated by government and nonprofits, and it is the target of sustained (and sometimes justified) attacks for inefficiency and failure. Milken's for-profit ventures are only the most ambitious of a number of aggressive capitalist incursions into the once-gentle confines of service-oriented pedagogy. And they've captured Wall Street's attention. Stock prices of two competitors, DeVry of Chicago and Baltimore-based Sylvan Learning Systems, which both provide a cafeteria line of educational technology and services, have almost tripled over the past three years. CBT Systems, a provider of business-training software and a subsidiary of another KU competitor, CBT Group, went public in 1995 at $16 a share and, had it not split, would have a stock value of more than $200 today. Even household names like Sun Microsystems, Microsoft, Oracle, Apple, Sony and the Washington Post Company are getting in on the racket, investing millions in education-related enterprises. "It's absolutely an exciting time to be involved in this industry," notes Michael Moe, an analyst with Merrill Lynch who specializes in education securities. Moe estimates that the for-profit component of the US education and training industry was $70 billion in 1998, and that it will grow at 13 percent annually for the next few years.

In the most traditional area of education--preschool, K-12 and college--Milken is a for-profit player. He has a minority stake, likely to become a majority, in Nobel Education Dynamics, a Pennsylvania company that runs 139 schools in thirteen states. He plays a role in the for-profit early-childhood field through CDC and is an investor in the startup online Knowledge University and the Internet education company UNEXT.com. The business of for-profit schools has a mixed record, in both financial and educational terms, but it continues to expand: The "virtual" University of Phoenix is now the fastest-growing and largest provider of higher education for working adults in the country, with more than 60,000 students. The Edison Project, founded with great fanfare by former Yale University president Benno Schmidt and new-media entrepreneur Chris Whittle in 1991, is avidly seeking contracts to manage public charter schools. It now has fifty-one under its control, though it has yet to turn a profit.

Companies like Milken's are not just competitors with public schools; they are poised to supplement the traditional classroom, viewing public and nonprofit educational institutions--as well as for-profit firms--as both potential customers and avenues to a vast consumer base. What distinguishes much of the capital now pouring into education is that it is linking the previously sacrosanct domain of the classroom with more conventionally business-dominated information spheres. With its array of holdings in software, corporate consulting and educational service companies, Milken's Knowledge Universe perhaps best exemplifies this trend, but it can also be discerned in the strategy behind KU's closest rival, Sylvan, which had 1998 earnings of $36 million on revenues of $440 million. It is as ambitious as KU, with holdings in testing preparation and administration, teacher education, English-language training, long-distance learning and college-level study abroad. Sylvan insists it isn't out to supplant public and nonprofit schools, but to complement them.

As noted in books such as Robert Reich's The Work of Nations and Jeremy Rifkin's The End of Work, changes in the economy have raised the stakes considerably. Many economists contend that knowledge is increasingly the commodity that determines economic success and failure. A 1997 Education Department study showed that college graduates who participated in additional training from the beginning of their employment earned an average of $601 per week, compared with $461 for those who did not. Among everyone from preschoolers' nervous parents to older workers fearful of being overtaken by better-trained youngsters to firms struggling to retain a competitive work force, the demand for superior technical knowledge grows steadily in tandem with the fear of falling behind. This has become the new conventional economic wisdom, justifying everything from federal investment in education and training at the expense of job-creating economic stimulus packages to massive private capital flows into the burgeoning field of creating and disseminating information.

As Milken asked rhetorically in a rare interview with the Los Angeles Times, "What type of world are we living in?" He offered his own answer: "One where intellectual capital is the most valuable component." And if he has his way, it will soon be a world controlled to a large extent by educational conglomerates like his. Even if Milken's most direct impact is within the for-profit education sector, the effect of his range of investments on public schools could be profound. Not only are public schools purchasing KU's educational products but they are watching Milken's schools closely, both as a potential model and as a competitive threat.

Philanthropist King

Thanks in part to Milken's fanatical secrecy, his flurry of acquisitions has received remarkably little public attention. Even Benno Schmidt of the Edison Project oddly pleads ignorance of the Milken for-profit operations. Instead, Milken is widely hailed in the press as a philanthropist, noted for his work in educational and other nonprofits. Long before he began cobbling together an eclectic array of "knowledge" businesses--and even before the law got to him--he was establishing himself as a significant force through his giving. In the early eighties the Milken Family Foundation National Educator Awards were established, and by 1987 Milken was doling out cash prizes to promising teachers and administrators. The awards bestow $25,000 checks annually on "the best" teachers and administrators; 1,330 educators--many widely admired as progressive innovators--have been awarded thus far with nearly $30 million of Milken's money. Milken began another charity, the Milken Scholar's Program (which offers financial aid to selected high school students entering college), in 1989 while he was facing prosecution that would land him in prison. He also dreamed up Mike's Math Club, a concept through which he (himself a product of public schools), and now hired staff, would land their sleighs in inner-city schools to dispense fun and accessible math lessons. Towering over Milken's charitable efforts is his well-publicized $25 million search for a cure for prostate cancer. (He survived a bout in the early nineties, and pumps millions a year into research, besides donating proceeds from his low-fat cookbook.)

Two nonprofit entities, the Milken Family Foundation and a think tank called the Milken Institute, founded in 1991, operate from offices on a palm-tree-lined avenue in Santa Monica, several miles from Moraga. Milken, who was rumored to be frustrated with the institute because of its scholarly remove from the worlds of politics and business, hosted the second of his Milken Institute Global Conferences at the Beverly Hilton Hotel (site of Milken's Predator's Balls in the eighties) in early March. Nobel laureates such as economist Gary Becker mingled with California Governor Gray Davis, controversial Russian oligarch Boris Berezovsky and high-level reps from Goldman Sachs and OppenheimerFunds, ruminating on the future of the world economy. The Milken Institute Review was recently relaunched with former New York Times columnist Peter Passell as editor; Passell's debut issue features contributors ranging from MIT economist Paul Krugman to former Fed governor and George W. Bush adviser Larry Lindsey. Milken himself contributed an article in which he identifies "intangible assets such as human capital, management information systems, software and digital distribution systems"--all on KU's acquisition list--as the key features of today's marketplace.

Former associates say Milken is obsessed with discouraging cynical speculation about links between his for-profit and not-for-profit orbits. A notoriously covert operator in his Wall Street heyday, Milken today has an extra incentive to keep an arm's distance from the details of his for-profit educational ventures: Following his conviction in 1990 he was permanently barred from brokering financial deals. Because Knowledge Universe is a holding company, not an investment firm, and because Milken is a founder and part-owner rather than executive, he is somewhat insulated from such accusations. However, the post-prison Milken has succumbed once to the lure of filthy lucre: In 1998 he admitted to improperly acting as a broker in a deal involving MCI and Rupert Murdoch's News Corporation, coughing up a $47 million fine.

If you believe his personal spokesman, Geoffrey Moore (who doubles as a senior vice president at Knowledge Universe), Milken is basically a full-time philanthropist: "He doesn't have time for interviews; he's too busy saving lives." During a recent TV appearance, Milken dodged Charlie Rose's attempts to discuss anything but his charity work. Moore insists that Milken is just "an investor" in the myriad educational ventures controlled from Moraga. Not so, say insiders, who contend that Milken is the same old business junkie he was at Drexel Burnham Lambert, where he was always at his desk by 4:30 am. "He does it full time, day in, day out," says Joseph Costello, a former Knowledge Universe CEO. "Every day of the week. Forget weekends, holidays. 'Cause that's his life. That's his art."

Milken's brother Lowell ostensibly runs the philanthropic ventures, but it's hard to separate the outfits entirely since the brothers are veritable Siamese twins. "They've been partners in all these things," says Columbia University Teachers College president Arthur Levine, who has followed Milken's attempts at educational reform and innovation closely. "Talking to them, they're almost interchangeable." Throughout his Wall Street career, Milken relied on Lowell, a lawyer by training, to handle both his personal investments and the structuring of tax shelters (Milken cut a deal with prosecutors whereby he took the heat for himself and his brother). "His brother is in with him on all ventures," says Joseph Carrabino, a former president of the California State Board of Education, who served on the faculty of UCLA's Graduate School of Business with Milken and knows both brothers. "He's like his alter ego."

Intellectual Venture Capital

In three years, the privately held Knowledge Universe has risen to 150 on the Forbes Private 500, and, at $1.2 billion, it is twice the size of its competitor KinderCare, an education company majority-owned by an affiliate of legendary buyout firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts. According to former Knowledge Universe CEO Costello, he and Milken divided education into several main areas: K-12, business training and continuing education (including community college and professional certification). In the United States, they estimated, K-12 is worth a whopping $250 billion and business education some $70 billion, with continuing education falling somewhere in between.

The diminutive, workaholic Milken declined a Nation interview request, but the magazine was able to speak with four people who have worked inside Milken's coalescing business empire and with a number of outsiders who have dealt with him. Most question whether he's as suited--by temperament or inclination--to the task of educational reform as he is to the financial horse-trading that characterizes his for-profit company. "He's like an addicted shopper," says Costello, who left Knowledge Universe in early 1998 over strategic differences. "They told us to buy absolutely everything that was possibly buyable in the education world," says another former staffer, who requested anonymity, noting that some former associates have been threatened with lawsuits for talking to outsiders. Milken defined education broadly, and has spoken of a "cradle to grave" role in forming the human mind. He tried to buy Simon & Schuster's textbook division and saw gold in daycare, children's toys, curriculum creation, textbook publishing, charter-type school management and, for businesses, in offering everything from information technology training to courses on sexual harassment.

Milken is following the example of large toy companies like Hasbro by swallowing up promising small firms whose products can be sold to classrooms. In 1997 Milken bought LeapFrog, an Emeryville, California-based maker of award-winning toy products such as The Book Wizard (a child points a "magical pen" at this interactive book to hear the story). LeapFrog books are provided to reading centers courtesy of the nonprofit Riordan Foundation, established by LA Mayor Richard Riordan, a close pal of Milken's. Another KU unit, Reston, Virginia-based MindQ Publishing, also markets classroom-oriented software.

Milken has talked of dominating legal training and college prep courses, according to former insiders, and grandiosely pondered taking positions in media companies, themselves on the outer reaches of the knowledge universe. Costello thought Milken was out of control, wanting to go in too many different directions at once. "They'd look at these giant things, doing some kind of a leveraged buyout of temp agencies," recalls Costello. "They were all over the map." Knowledge University, Milken's version of an online institution of higher learning, is one of KU's most prominent flops. An idea that promised Internet courses taught by the nation's top professors, it has yet to open its virtual doors. The "University" now lies in disrepair in the hands of a Chicago consulting firm, from which KU has retreated to a minority stake.

Costello, considered a golden boy for his ten-year tenure at Cadence Systems, which during his reign became the world's leading supplier of electronic-design-automation software, argued for a strategy targeting modes of education best equipped to address anticipated changes in society. Milken's vision, by contrast, encompassed both innovative educational products and services and more conventional ones. For example, Milken wanted to put $100 million into buying existing language-training companies. "I said, Jesus, why buy an old dog for a hundred million bucks?" Costello recalls. Instead, he urged spending $10-$20 million to create a new model for language training. Costello, who continues to admire Milken in many respects, left after two and a half months of working with him.

In fact, Milken seems most successful when he is not reinventing the wheel but buying existing businesses in hot categories, and then doing whatever it takes to pump up the company's value--such as offering educational "breakthroughs" like jump-starting the sandbox set with early math and language training. Still, many KU holdings remain volatile, making it difficult to predict whether Milken will realize his expansive business aims. A case in point is KU's Nextera Enterprises, a 600-employee consulting arm offering corporate strategy planning and personnel development, which grew a whopping 745 percent last year but showed a net loss of $1.6 million. Two competitors, CBT Group and Learning Tree, have three times the sales. But perhaps the most interesting thing about Nextera, which is being spun off as a public company, is the direction it is taking and what that may say about Milken's broad definition of education and about his values. Nextera recently bought Lexecon Inc., which dispatches economics and law professors to assist companies accused of wrongdoing. For example, Lexecon expert witnesses trooped into courtrooms on behalf of handgun manufacturers facing liability suits and helped Merrill Lynch executives weather scrutiny of their role in the bankrupting of Orange County.

Where Do You Want to Go Today?

Arthur Levine of Columbia's Teachers College has spent as much time as anyone talking with Milken and has a strong sense of why Milken casts his net so widely. "We're seeing publishers, television, museums, libraries, universities--all of them are in the knowledge business and what they're all doing right now is beginning to produce the same products.... Suddenly what we have is a brand-new world in which Michael Milken is probably the most visible of all the entrepreneurs. Does one worry? Of course one worries."

Milken is perhaps uniquely equipped to play the game of leveraging assets and promoting synergy. He pushed through the conventional Wall Street firewalls, working not just as a broker on behalf of bond issuers but also as a middleman for the buyers. And he constantly linked his clients, pushing every possible opportunity for one component to ignite income opportunities in another. It's not unlikely that Milken will see synergistic opportunities with many of the corporate titans he helped enrich during the seventies and eighties--people like Rupert Murdoch and Ted Turner, and companies like MCI, TCI and Time Warner. The conceivable possibilities for incorporating their products (from Sports Illustrated to The Simpsons) into education are endless: Imagine, for instance, a line of "Homer does Homework" products. The trend is already here: Chris Whittle's Channel One introduced advertising into public schools in 1989. Dozens of schools are now allowing for-profit companies access to elementary students for focus groups in return for computers, and the widespread use of Nike and other brand names in math textbook problems has prompted angry parents to lobby for bans.

One good thing that can be said about Milken is that he's not likely to be pushing any philosophical obsession on his students. He has put forth a few modest ideas, including the notion that preschoolers are ready to dip into foreign languages and preliminary algebra; he also envisions using classroom technology to deliver national-standard educational lessons. And he thinks that the sort of incentives that work well in business will produce higher-quality education. But if his Wall Street reign is any guide, the game is not about a particular political ideology but about finding assets that are undervalued, then structuring them in such a way that value is generated and investors make money.

Still, even Milken is not above a little editorial control. Would he allow a Milken School to assess the go-go eighties critically? "Absolutely not," says a former colleague. Such concerns seem borne out in a book produced by a Milken-backed publishing house, Knowledge Exchange. Its Business Encyclopedia approvingly cites Milken's role in the junk-bond market without mentioning the economic and social devastation associated with it. Of the bonds, it declares, "Though considered to be highly controversial, high-yield securities have emerged as an important investment category as well as a critical source of financing for growing companies."

Educators worry that if curriculum and the tools of teaching (let alone schools themselves) are controlled by conglomerates like Milken's, many of the virtues of public education will be lost. Roger Bowen, president of the State University of New York at New Paltz and an advocate for public schools, says that people like Milken "forget that one of the best outcomes of 'traditional' education is improved socialization and civic values. Techno-educators seem altogether indifferent to building a stronger democratic society." And when the emphasis is on selling a certain vision of the future--one that is intimately linked to the prosperity of private firms in the knowledge business--the welfare of students may well get short shrift. Indeed, there are no reliable studies demonstrating that technology can actually improve educational performance in the trenches of America's public schools. "No doubt, some solitary souls and antisocial types thrive using new learning technologies; and there is plenty of evidence that the television generation adores the computer screen," says Bowen. "But the mere conveyance of information, which computers do quite well, is only a small part of what the educational process should be."

The best hope for preventing the debasement of education as just another corporate product may lie in public control over curriculum. "One of the things that may happen is we may see more states dictating curricular content...and demanding accountability standards in these profit-making schools," says Levine. At the moment, very few do. California, with the largest total number of students, doesn't even license K-12 schools, according to Carolyn Pirillo, deputy general counsel for the California Education Department: "We stipulate branches of study [English, history and the like] but I'm sure nobody has tried to enforce [even] this content on private schools, and I'm not sure what would happen if we did." A school could offer health classes that sing the praises of Twinkies, Ho-Hos and Ding-Dongs for building strong bodies--with nary a worry.

On one level, it is unsettling even to contemplate that the business of education--from software to SAT prep courses to employee training--may lie in the hands of a man who became infamous by helping financiers take over and gut companies, throwing thousands out of work and producing nothing but payoffs for investors. As James Stewart argued in Den of Thieves, Milken's reign served as a catalyst for extensive layoffs and economic recession. Would he blanch at making "surplus" teachers "redundant"? Or at maximizing profits by underpaying labor? "Education is labor intensive if it is done well," says Bowen. "Simpletons who argue that education can be made 'cost-effective' by relying more on learning technologies are seldom educators themselves. The corporatization of American education results in techno-educators getting the ear of education-bashers who are eager to prove more comes from less." Indeed, two recent studies have documented that for-profit schools in Arizona and Michigan have slashed teacher salaries, special-ed services--and transportation for students, which has increased racial segregation in schools.

The dirty little not-very-secret is that educational establishments, which still shape our society more than any other institutions, are being turned over to those who see life as one giant Risk board. Progressive educators may win the battle to halt the full-scale privatization of our schools; nearly 90 percent of American children are still educated in public schools. But if we lose sight of the war for control over their content, the future may belong not to teachers and students but to the new proprietors of knowledge--corporate executives and investors. Surely, too, judging education based on measurable "improvements," which corporations love to do in flogging their whiter whites and wider seats, has its nefarious side. Will it come down to how schools market themselves rather than how well kids learn and what they learn? Will students even be permitted, for example, to see the negative consequences of unfettered greed? In an era when even our most basic public institutions are being shaped by financial interests, defending these core principles has become an increasingly important struggle.

Gold Reaches 27-Year High on Dollar, Oil Records; Silver Gains

Nov. 6 -- Gold rose to the highest since 1980 as record oil prices and a slumping dollar increased concern that inflation will accelerate. Silver jumped to the highest in 26 years.

Oil surged as high as $97.07 a barrel in New York and the dollar extended its slide to the lowest ever against the euro, boosting the appeal of precious metals as an inflation hedge. Investment in the StreetTracks Gold Trust, an exchange-traded fund backed by bullion, has risen 32 percent this year to a record 598 metric tons.

``The falling dollar is the very definition of inflation,'' said Chip Hanlon, president of Delta Global Advisors Inc. in Huntington Beach, California, which manages about $1.2 billion. ``A weak dollar makes the cost of living for all of us go higher and gold is the best hedge against that.''

Gold futures for December delivery rose $14.40, or 1.8 percent, to $825.20 an ounce at 12:10 p.m. on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. The price earlier climbed to $827.20, the highest for a most-active contract since Jan. 21, 1980, the day gold reached a record $873. Gold has rallied 29 percent this year, heading for the seventh straight annual gain.

Silver futures for December delivery rose 63.5 cents, or 4.3 percent, to $15.42 an ounce in New York, after earlier reaching $15.54, the highest for a most-active contract since Jan. 21, 1981. Before today, silver gained 14 percent this year.

Weakening Dollar

The dollar fell to $1.457 against the euro, the lowest ever, on speculation losses related to U.S. subprime-mortgage defaults will prompt the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates for a third time this year.

Gold gained 23 percent last year when the dollar dropped 10 percent against the euro. The dollar is down 9.3 percent against the euro in 2007 and has fallen 3.9 percent since Sept. 18, when the Fed lowered the overnight lending rate for the first time in four years. The Fed cut rates again by 0.25 percentage point to 4.5 percent on Oct. 31.

Five of the past six bear markets for the U.S. currency have resulted in a gold rally. Interest-rate futures indicate investors believe there is a 62 percent chance the Fed will lower rates to 4.25 percent by Dec. 11, compared with a 6 percent chance a month ago.

``Everyone should keep accumulating gold and selling dollars,'' said James Turk, founder of GoldMoney.com, which had $237 million of gold and silver in storage for investors at the end of October.

$1,000 Prediction

Turk expects gold to breach $1,000 in 2008. He correctly predicted last year gold would rise above $800 in 2007. ``Gold remains cheap and the dollar is still way overvalued,'' he said.

Adjusted for inflation, gold is still below its all-time high. Based on 1980 dollars, the January 1980 record of $873 would be $2,185.68 today.

Gold priced in other currencies has also gained this year. Gold denominated in euros has gained 17 percent in 2007 while gold priced in yen climbed 24 percent. Gold reached a record 395.89 British pounds today.

``This gold market is up, up and away,'' said Ron Goodis, futures trading director at Equidex Brokerage Group Inc. in Closter, New Jersey. ``The dollar is going to keep skidding. We don't know if it's going to be a recession, inflation, stagflation. People want to buy gold.''

UBS AG today raised its one-month forecast to $850 from $700. National Bank Financial last week said gold would reach $900 in the next 12 months.

Dollar, Oil

``With the two external drivers of gold -- a weak U.S. dollar and strong oil -- together conspiring to lift the metal higher, we are now in range of a move to the all-time nominal high of $850,'' said UBS AG analyst John Reade.

Gold for immediate delivery in London rose $16.90, or 2.1 percent, to $823.40. The spot price has averaged $677.64 this year.

Crude-oil futures traded higher on concern demand will outpace supply. Gold reached its record in January 1980 after oil costs doubled in a year, sparking a surge in the rate of inflation to 14.8 percent in March 1980.

Still, some investors caution gold's rally since mid-August may be overdone.

``The dollar, oil and gold have moved too far too fast and are ripe for substantial corrections,'' said Jim Pogoda, an investor in Summit, New Jersey, and a former precious-metals trader for Mitsubishi International Corp.

Speculative net-long positions on the Comex are near record highs. Hedge funds and other large speculators increased net- long positions, or bets prices will rise, to 198,606 contracts on the Comex as of Oct. 30, up from 186,304 a week earlier, according to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

The 14-day relative strength index for gold futures topped 80 today after staying above 70 for the past seven sessions. When gold's RSI last topped 80 on Oct. 1, the metal dropped $17.80 the next day.

U.S. Stocks Advance, Led by Producers of Energy, Commodities

Nov. 6 -- U.S. stocks rose the most in four days, led by commodity and energy companies, after oil climbed to a record and gold advanced to a 27-year high.

Exxon Mobil Corp., the largest U.S. crude producer, posted its biggest gain in seven weeks. Newmont Mining Corp., the world's second-biggest gold producer, rallied to the highest since July 2006. JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp. helped carry financial companies to their first advance in four days.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index added 4.93, or 0.3 percent, to 1,507.1 at 12:55 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 21.54, or 0.2 percent, to 13,564.94. The Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 1.73, or 0.1 percent, to 2,793.45. Benchmark indexes in Asia and Europe also climbed.

``Materials are feeding the global boom,'' said Michael Williams, who helps oversee $2.8 billion as managing director of Genesis Partners in New York. ``There is a wide gap between the demand for product and output of product.''

Today's gains were led by two of the three best performing industries of the year. Energy companies in the S&P 500 have rallied 28 percent since December for the top advance among 10 groups as oil prices climb toward $100 a barrel. Producers of raw materials have added 22 percent as a surging global economy boosts demand.

Energy Rally

Exxon gained $2.20 to $89.86. ConocoPhillips, the third- largest U.S. oil producer, added $1.09 to $85.01.

Crude oil for December delivery rose as high as $97 a barrel in New York on speculation that U.S. inventories declined for a third week and as a storm closed production in the North Sea.

Newmont added $1.60 to $53.94. Gold futures for December delivery rose $14.40, or 1.8 percent, to $825.20 an ounce as record oil prices and a slumping dollar increased concern that inflation will accelerate.

The S&P 500 Financials Index climbed 0.4 percent. JPMorgan, the third-biggest U.S. bank, added 94 cents to $43.71. Bank of America, the second biggest, climbed $1 to $45.45.

Financial shares reversed a loss after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. denied market speculation that the most-profitable securities firm was preparing to announce a large writedown.

``The rumors seem to be getting more fanciful by the minute,'' said Lucas van Praag, a spokesman at Goldman in New York. ``We said there was no truth to them last week and the situation has not changed.''

The S&P 500 Financials Index climbed 0.4 percent. JPMorgan, the third-biggest U.S. bank, added 94 cents to $43.71. Bank of America, the second biggest, climbed $1 to $45.45.

MasterCard Inc., the second-biggest payment-card network, advanced $13.68 to $199.61. Deutsche Bank Securities raised its recommendation on the shares to ``buy'' from ``hold,'' increased its price estimate for the stock by 88 percent to $250 and lifted its revenue and earnings forecasts for 2007.

Google $850 Estimate

Google Inc., owner of the world's most popular search engine, increased $10 to $735.65. Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. lifted its 12-month share-price forecast to $850 from $720, saying the company's expansion into mobile-phone software and Internet video will improve revenue and profit.

Research In Motion, maker of the BlackBerry e-mail phone, added $2.25 to $130.22. Credit Suisse Group upgraded the company to ``outperform'' and said the shares may reach $160 in the next 12 months. Annual profits may increase at a 40 percent pace in the next three to five years, boosted by higher demand from international markets, analysts including Michael Ounjian said.

Earnings at technology companies in the S&P 500 may climb 10.3 percent this year and 24 percent next year, according to the average of analysts' estimates compiled by Bloomberg on Nov. 2. The 2008 profit growth estimate is the highest among 10 industry groups.

Archer Daniels Midland Co. climbed $2.53 to $37.05. The world's largest grain processor said first-quarter profit rose 9.4 percent as increased sales of wheat, corn and soybeans more than made up for declines in ethanol prices.

The Morgan Stanley Capital International Asia Pacific Index added 0.6 percent, while Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index increased 0.4 percent

Business vs Politicians – Guess Who Knows Better?

In order to remain competitive, entrepreneurs and other business owners and managers must constantly strive to predict future conditions in the market. They do so with a variety of means – surveys, statistics, industry forecasting, etc. Financial success depends on being able to allocate resources today so it matches future demand or supply. Let's assume that Walter runs "Block by Block," a road construction company. Walter has been keeping track of the price of the materials needed to make concrete and believes that it is going to go up soon. As a good businessman, he orders more. It turns out that he is correct; his decision has lowered his costs of operation. To the extent that he outsmarted his competitors, he has gained an advantage in terms of profit margins, allowing him to lower prices, give raises, invest more in equipment, or save. At any rate, his decision is correct. Had he erred, he would have incurred a relative loss against other players in the industry and would be at a disadvantage.

But the price of input factors is merely one of the many issues that must be considered. Conditions in the market vary according to customer preference. There are changes in fashion and technological advances, for instance, and successful entrepreneurs are those who can best keep up with the changes. Then there is the choice of where and when to start a business, who to hire, whether to partner with other businesses, and literally hundreds or thousands of other factors to balance and consider.

Today, the role of the capitalist is mostly ignored or undermined by the bureaucratic mindset found in politicians and court intellectuals. Capitalists, like all human actors, take risks when they put their own property at stake. They try to maximize their success rate and reduce their losses. Robert Kiyosaki said that "it's not your knowledge that makes you rich, it's your abilities." So even if politicians or "system managers" read up on all of the business and marketing gurus out there, they wouldn't still be able to bargain, sell, assess risk and perform the other abilities that a true entrepreneur develops. One summer running a lemonade stand as a kid will do more for your entrepreneurial skills than a lifetime as a politician or government bureaucratic manager.

Now on to prices. What about them? Prices are records of past exchanges which reflect both real scarcity and subjective valuation of goods. Prices can motivate and guide the entrepreneur in terms of better information. That said, their main task, the one that the state and socialist endeavors in general lack, is to allow us to make economic calculation. The kid running a lemonade stand will easily know that he is doing something valuable to others because he's turning a profit. That is, the price that people actually pay is high enough for the kid to obtain a profit. Thus, he knows that his time and other scarce resources have been invested efficiently. He has combined various resources (cups, lemon, ice, napkins, labor) and turned them into something more valuable to the customer than the sum of the parts. It is clear that when the purchase was made, the customer at that moment preferred the lemonade over another product and also to the individual products and resources that would be necessary for the customer to make the lemonade himself.* This is how the market works; it is simple and a win-win situation for both parties.

Politicians have no way to do even the simplest of things like the above. Nobody buys their services; they impose them. They learn very different abilities during their "careers," such as bootlicking, backstabbing, and pretending to be busy. They serve no consumer and indeed none can be found unless you count pundits, bureaucrats, leeches and lobbyists. As the ancient Chinese saying teaches us, "One cannot serve two masters at the same time." The politician has to spend more than half of his time making his "internal clients" happy while at the same time keeping others from looking better than him. What a terrible waste of time. That's an awful lot of R&D for new products, efficiency gains and product improvement that never took place. The larger the public sector, the smaller the space for true production for human well-being. In fact, because choice is taken away from the consumer – that is, from the rest of all of us – we are stuck in a win-loose situation with these parasites.

While companies spend billions in product development, the state resorts to taxing billions. And while it is true that the market is dynamic and businesses do fail, making room for a better allocation of resources, the same cannot be said for government production (redistribution really). Ask yourself why the FDA or CIA for FAA or any other agency – why they do not go away having failed over and over? On the contrary: they exist in perpetuity. Of course, when there's a constant supply of money, we just hear about "reform" or "putting the right people in office" or, even worse, calls for "better funding." The problem will remain the same so long as free entrepreneurs, not blind socialist mice, run the game.

Finally, it boggles the mind how ordinary people place so much trust into politicians. How is possible that a bunch of political parasites, who usually live far away, magically have the ability to know what is best for you? They are just guessing. Further, even if they were somehow able to know what is best for you in a certain aspect or two, why assume that they know everything about every imaginable subject? In fact, why assume that they know anything at all? If an official has a degree in law or engineering, for example, most of the time they debate and vote on issues that they have no idea about. Sure, they have panels, discussions, experts and all kinds of "debate" takes place. But so what? They still impose the decision at gun point and they make the taxpayer pay for it. Horrendous!

Businessmen have one master: the consumer. Politicians aim to serve all of society yet they end up destroying it, usually under the motto of "for your own good." We wonder why we let them manage or design precisely the things we consider most critical to our lives such as education, health care, food and personal interactions. We'd rather have the state run the lemonade stands, and let the kids (especially the most ambitious ones) take over the roads, schools and hospitals, so they turn a profit and we know something good is actually going on.

*This is the reason why one cannot really run the government as a business. We often hear, especially at the municipal level, how the local politician plans to run the city or town as business. What is meant here is that they will attempt to cut waste and to run it efficiently. Yet this is economic ignorance. The government cannot do anything efficiently so long as it continues to tax, legislate and monopolize services. The mere fact that the government taxes, legislates and monopolizes shows that people would prefer something else instead. If a politician disagrees with this statement, that is, if they do not believe that people would prefer something else instead of what they are being "offered," they would have to support the abolition of as much of the state as possible and see where people would freely spend their money.

Thursday, July 12, 2007

SUPPLY--SIDE ECONOMICS IN ACTION

I'll Bet You Didn't Know All this on the Budget

Brian Riedl over at Heritage has a new review of the latest budget numbers. Here's his summary:

-- After increases of 15 percent and 12 percent the past two years, tax revenues are projected to increase an additional 7 percent in 2007.

-- By historical standards, Americans are now overtaxed. Total 2007 tax revenues (18.8 percent of GDP) and individual income tax revenues (8.5 percent of GDP) are well above their historical averages, and even above their averages in the 1990s.

-- The inflation-adjusted 2004-2007 revenue surge of 25 percent represents the largest three-year tax revenue surge since 1966-1969.

-- Total 2007 federal spending is estimated to be 20.2 percent of GDP, up from 18.5 percent when President Bush took office. Had spending remained at 18.5 percent of GDP, this year's budget would show a $35 billion surplus. The tax cuts did not create the 2007 budget deficit; rather, an enormous increase in spending created the deficit.

-- Health care spending is skyrocketing. The MSR projects that Medicare will grow 14 percent this year (on top of 12 percent growth last year) and that Medicaid and SCHIP will grow 9 percent. Combined Medicare and Medicaid spending now exceeds Social Security spending.

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Saturday, May 5, 2007

INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CORPORATION

International Finance Corporation


The International Finance Corporation (IFC) promotes sustainable private sector investment in developing countries as a way to reduce poverty and improve people's lives.

IFC is a member of the World Bank Group and is headquartered in Washington, DC. It shares the primary objective of all World Bank Group institutions: to improve the quality of the lives of people in its developing member countries. [1]

Established in 1956, IFC is the largest multilateral source of loan and equity financing for private sector projects in the developing world. It promotes sustainable private sector development primarily by:

1. Financing private sector projects located in the developing world.
2. Helping private companies in the developing world mobilize financing in international financial markets.
3. Providing advice and technical assistance to businesses and governments.

IFC has 179 member countries , which collectively determine its policies and approve investments. To join IFC, a country must first be a member of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD). IFC's corporate powers are vested in its Board of Governors, to which member countries appoint representatives. IFC's share capital, which is paid in, is provided by its member countries, and voting is in proportion to the number of shares held. IFC's authorized capital (the sums contributed by its members over the years) is $2.45 billion; IFC's net worth (which includes authorized capital and retained earnings) is considerably larger and at the end of June, 2005, was $9.8 billion. [2]

The Board of Governors delegates many of its powers to the Board of Directors, which is composed of the Executive Directors of the IBRD, and which represents IFC's member countries. The Board of Directors reviews all projects.

The President of the World Bank Group, Paul Wolfowitz, also serves as IFC's president. IFC's Executive Vice President, Lars Thunell, is responsible for the overall management of day-to-day operations. He was appointed on January 15, 2006.

Although IFC coordinates its activities in many areas with the other institutions in the World Bank Group, IFC generally operates independently as it is legally and financially autonomous with its own Articles of Agreement, share capital, management and staff.

[edit] Funding of IFC's Activities

IFC's equity and quasi-equity investments are funded out of its net worth: the total of paid in capital and retained earnings. Strong shareholder support, triple-A ratings, and the substantial paid-in capital base have allowed IFC to raise funds for its lending activities on favorable terms in the international capital markets. Retained earnings now represent almost three-quarters of IFC's net worth of $9.8 billion (end-June 2006).

[edit] IFC Activities

Within the World Bank Group, the World Bank finances projects with sovereign guarantees, while the IFC finances projects without sovereign guarantees. This means that the IFC is primarily active in private sector projects, although some projects in the public sector (at the municipal or sub-national level) have recently been funded.

Private sector financing is IFC's main activity, and in this respect is a profit-oriented financial institution (and has never had an annual loss in its 50-year history). Like a bank, IFC lends or invests its own funds and borrowed funds to its customers and expects to make a sufficient risk-adjusted return on its global portfolio of projects.

IFC's activities, however, must meet a second test of contributing to a reduction in poverty in line with its mandate. In practice, this is broadly interpreted, but considerable time and effort is devoted to both (i) selecting projects with positive developmental outcomes, and (ii) improving the developmental outcome of projects by various means.

Apart from its core investment activities, IFC also carries out technical cooperation projects in many countries to improve the investment climate. These activities may be linked to a specific investment project, or, increasingly, to broader goals such as improving the legislative environment for a specific industry. IFC's technical cooperation projects are generally funded by donor countries or from IFC's own budget.

THE WORLD BANK

World Bank Group


The World Bank Group is a group of five international organizations responsible for providing finance and advice to countries for the purposes of economic development and eliminating poverty. The Bank came into formal existence on 27 December 1945 following international ratification of the Bretton Woods agreements, which emerged from the United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference (1 July - 22 July 1944). Commencing operations on 25 June 1946, it approved its first loan on 9 May 1947 ($250m to France for postwar reconstruction, in real terms the largest loan issued by the Bank to date). Its five agencies are:

* International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD)
* International Finance Corporation (IFC)
* International Development Association (IDA)
* Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA)
* International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID)

The World Bank's activities are focused on developing countries, in fields such as human development (e.g. education, health), agriculture and rural development (e.g. irrigation, rural services), environmental protection (e.g. pollution reduction, establishing and enforcing regulations), infrastructure (e.g. roads, urban regeneration, electricity), and governance (e.g. anti-corruption, legal institutions development). The IBRD and IDA provide loans at preferential rates to member countries, as well as grants to the poorest countries. Loans or grants for specific projects are often linked to wider policy changes in the sector or the economy. For example, a loan to improve coastal environmental management may be linked to development of new environmental institutions at national and local levels and to implementation of new regulations to limit pollution.

The activities of the IFC and MIGA include investment in the private sector and providing insurance respectively.

The World Bank Institute is the capacity development branch of the World Bank, providing learning and other capacity-building programs to member countries.